A negative report has been published by Kerrisdale Capital. Sahm Adrangi has explained the company’s position regarding NYSE: Joe or The St. Joe Company. This is a real estate development firm in Florida. There is a large area of desolate land close to Panama City Beach they plan to transform into a nice destination for businesses and retirees.
It is unlikely St. Joe’s development of the land will justify the $1 billion current valuation of the company. Sahm Adrangi has said the land holdings are desolate, remote and swampy. The only way the current valuation can be justified is for 400k square feet of space for commercial uses in addition to 2,700 home sites being sold each year for the next fifty years. This would make the new retirement district of St. Joe’s the best selling community in America. The amount of commercial real estate sold would exceed the entire 2017 Panhandle market.
The reality is St. Joe has made little progress on the interior land. Checks made by Kerrisdale Capital and Sahm Adrangi have established minimal activity regarding signs of advancement, permit filings and building department inquiries. Sahm Adrangi stated the feasibility of the interior lands now are no better than the during the decade old proposal. He said the investors have already been waiting years and their suffering will likely continue for many more. St. Joe is struggling to monetize the land at a pace to justify the valuation.
The shareholder problems have been compounded by the required compliance of their biggest investor, the Fairholme Funds. Two months ago the new rules for SEC liquidity went into effect. The assets of the Fairholme Fund have decreased in excess of ninety percent from their peak. As these assets decline a bigger percentage of the fund is required by St. Joe. Over a third of St. Joe’s shares are being held by Fairholme. The new rules mean their position should be cut fifty percent. The shareholders of St. Joe are now facing the uncertainty and risk of a forced seller due to the required compliance of the new SEC regulations.